Premier League permutations: What Everton, Burnley, and Leeds need to avoid relegation this season

Temas: Leeds, Burnley, Everton, Relegation, English Premier League

The fight to survive the drop will be decided on the final day of the 2021/22 English top-flight season as three clubs are in danger of going down to the Championship.

2021/22 has been one of the most exciting seasons in recent Premier League history. Not only will the title and top four races be determined on the final day, but also the relegation battle as one team is yet to suffer the drop.

Additionally, things are made more interesting by the fact that Burnley and Everton, two of the sides fighting to remain in the English top-flight, will take to the field on Thursday, with these results set to have huge ramifications on Sunday's final round.

Which team is mostly likely to get relegated and which side are odds-on favorite to survive? Here are all the permutations for this nail-biting battle.

A quick reminder of the Premier League standings ahead of the final weekend

Pos. Equipo PJ G E P GF GC DIF P Racha
1 Arsenal 35 25 5 5 85 28 +57 80 GGGPG

2 Manchester City 34 24 7 3 82 32 +50 79 GGGGG

3 Liverpool 35 22 9 4 77 36 +41 75 EPGPE

4 Aston Villa 35 20 7 8 73 52 +21 67 EGGEP

5 Tottenham Hotspur 33 18 6 9 67 52 +15 60 PPGEG

6 Manchester United 34 16 6 12 52 51 +1 54 EGEEP

7 Newcastle United 34 16 5 13 74 55 +19 53 GPGGE

8 West Ham United 35 13 10 12 56 65 -9 49 EPPGE

9 Chelsea 33 13 9 11 63 59 +4 48 EPGEG

10 AFC Bournemouth 35 13 9 13 52 60 -8 48 GGPEP

11 Wolverhampton Wanderers 35 13 7 15 48 55 -7 46 GPPEP

12 Brighton & Hove Albion 34 11 11 12 52 57 -5 44 PPEPE

13 Fulham 35 12 7 16 51 55 -4 43 EPGPP

14 Crystal Palace 35 10 10 15 45 57 -12 40 EGGGP

15 Everton 35 12 8 15 37 48 -11 36 GGGPG

16 Brentford 35 9 8 18 52 60 -8 35 PGGEE

17 Nottingham Forest 35 7 9 19 42 62 -20 26 PPEPG

18 Luton Town 35 6 7 22 48 77 -29 25 PPPGP

19 Burnley 35 5 9 21 38 70 -32 24 EGEPE

20 Sheffield United 35 3 7 25 34 97 -63 16 PPPPE

Pos.	Equipo	PJ	G	E	P	GF	GC	DIF	P	Racha
1	Arsenal	35	25	5	5	85	28	+57	80	GGGPG
2	Manchester City	34	24	7	3	82	32	+50	79	GGGGG
3	Liverpool	35	22	9	4	77	36	+41	75	EPGPE
4	Aston Villa	35	20	7	8	73	52	+21	67	EGGEP
5	Tottenham Hotspur	33	18	6	9	67	52	+15	60	PPGEG
6	Manchester United	34	16	6	12	52	51	+1	54	EGEEP
7	Newcastle United	34	16	5	13	74	55	+19	53	GPGGE
8	West Ham United	35	13	10	12	56	65	-9	49	EPPGE
9	Chelsea	33	13	9	11	63	59	+4	48	EPGEG
10	AFC Bournemouth	35	13	9	13	52	60	-8	48	GGPEP
11	Wolverhampton Wanderers	35	13	7	15	48	55	-7	46	GPPEP
12	Brighton & Hove Albion	34	11	11	12	52	57	-5	44	PPEPE
13	Fulham	35	12	7	16	51	55	-4	43	EPGPP
14	Crystal Palace	35	10	10	15	45	57	-12	40	EGGGP
15	Everton	35	12	8	15	37	48	-11	36	GGGPG
16	Brentford	35	9	8	18	52	60	-8	35	PGGEE
17	Nottingham Forest	35	7	9	19	42	62	-20	26	PPEPG
18	Luton Town	35	6	7	22	48	77	-29	25	PPPGP
19	Burnley	35	5	9	21	38	70	-32	24	EGEPE
20	Sheffield United	35	3	7	25	34	97	-63	16	PPPPE

Champions League, Fase de Grupos

Europa League, Fase de Grupos

Promotion - Europa Conference League (Qualification: )

Relegation - Championship

Which teams have already been relegated from the Premier League this season?

As of now, two teams have officially been relegated. They are Norwich City and Watford, who are 20th and 19th in the table respectively. However, the Canaries can swap places with the Hornets if Dean Smith's side beat Tottenham on Matchweek 38 and Watford slip up against Chelsea.

Which teams are in danger of getting relegated from the Premier League this season?

While 15th-placed Southampton (40 points) can mathematically finish in the 17th spot, the Saints cannot go down. As a result, the relegation fight is a three-way battle between Burnley (34 points), Leeds (15 points), and Everton (36 points).

At the time of writing this article, the Clarets sit 18th, thus occupying the third and final relegation spot. However, Burnley have two games left to play this season, as do the Toffees. This means that it is Jesse Marsch's Leeds side – having played a game extra in comparison to their two rivals – whose fate is out of their hands as they will need a bit of fortune elsewhere in order to survive.

What are the remaining Premier League fixtures for the relegation battlers?

Everton

May 19: vs Crystal Palace (H)
May 22: vs Arsenal (A)

Leeds

May 22: vs Brentford (A)

Burnley

May 19: vs Aston Villa (A)
May 22: vs Newcastle (H)

What are the permutations for the 2021/22 Premier League relegation battle?

Everton

One win from their games against Crystal Palace and Arsenal would do the job as a single victory would put them out of reach from Leeds. In fact, even two points from their final two games (two draws) could suffice due to their superior goal difference over the Whites, meaning that even if Raphinha and Co. triumph on the final day and move level on points with Lampard's side, the Merseyside outfit will likely have the advantage.

Leeds

If Burnley lose their two remaining fixtures, then Leeds are guaranteed another season in the Premier League regardless of their result vs Brentford on the final day. If Burnley beat Aston Villa on Thursday, then Marsch's side will need a victory over Brentford and a defeat from the Clarets on the final day in order to dodge relegation. If Ben Mee and Co. draw with Aston Villa, then Leeds will need to better the Clarets' result on the final day as their horrible goal difference will likely result in them going down if they finish the season level on points with the Lancashire club.

Burnley

Victories over Aston Villa and Newcastle would secure them safety regardless of what happens elsewhere. A draw on Thursday would mean that the Clarets would simply need to match Leeds' result on the final day as their superior goal difference should give them the edge. If the 18th-placed side lose to Gerrard's men during the midweek, then Ben Mee and Co. will need to better the result of Marsch's side in order to survive (a draw if Leeds lose and a win if Leeds draw).